GGOALVIO

Argentina · Liga Profesional Argentina · 2/21/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Independ. Rivadavia · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Mediumconfidence

Independ. Rivadavia are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Independiente are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WWDDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Independ. Rivadavia hold an 11.4-point power-rating edge (64.2 v 52.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.2% in the Liga Profesional Argentina, while Independ. Rivadavia holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Independ. Rivadavia

Probability

52.2%

Model confidence

14.2%

Independ. Rivadavia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Independ. RivadaviaLWWWW

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
IndependienteWWDDD

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 0/5
Independ. RivadaviaIndependiente
55.6Attack44.4
66.7Defence60.3
65.1Form47.6
64.2Power52.7
1.48xG0.79
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