GGOALVIO

South-Korea · K League 1 · 4/11/2026, 7:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Incheon United · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Incheon United are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Ulsan Hyundai FC are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Ulsan Hyundai FC hold a 3.5-point power-rating edge (52.2 v 55.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.6% in the K League 1, while Incheon United holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Incheon United

Probability

36.6%

Model confidence

36.6%

Incheon United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Incheon UnitedWWLDL

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Ulsan Hyundai FCLDWWW

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Incheon UnitedUlsan Hyundai FC
44.4Attack53.0
61.9Defence54.5
46.0Form56.1
52.2Power55.7
1.28xG1.12
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