GGOALVIO

South-Korea · K League 1 · 5/12/2026, 10:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Incheon United · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Incheon United are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Pohang Steelers are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Incheon United hold a 4.5-point power-rating edge (52.2 v 47.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.1% in the K League 1, while Incheon United holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 31% BTTS chance and 24% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Incheon United

Probability

41.1%

Model confidence

41.1%

Incheon United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Incheon UnitedWDLWW

GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Pohang SteelersWDWLW

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Incheon UnitedPohang Steelers
44.4Attack30.3
61.9Defence63.6
46.0Form42.4
52.2Power47.6
1.05xG0.62
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