Incheon Unitedvs
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
SCHEDULEDSouth-Korea · K League 1 · 8/16/2026, 10:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Incheon United · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Incheon United are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Gimcheon Sangmu FC are 1W-1D-0L in their last 2 (DW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 7 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Incheon United hold a 4.7-point power-rating edge (50.0 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 19.2% in the K League 1, while Incheon United holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 25% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Incheon United
Probability
36.7%
Model confidence
19.2%
Incheon United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
GF 2 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/0.50