Incheon Unitedvs
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
COMPLETEDSouth-Korea · K League 1 · 4/5/2026, 7:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Incheon United · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Incheon United are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLDLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Gimcheon Sangmu FC are 0W-5D-0L in their last 5 (DDDDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Incheon United hold a 7.3-point power-rating edge (52.2 v 44.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.6% in the K League 1, while Incheon United holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 30% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Incheon United
Probability
45.6%
Model confidence
45.6%
Incheon United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80