Incheon Unitedvs
Gangwon FC
COMPLETEDSouth-Korea · K League 1 · 5/2/2026, 7:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Incheon United are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Gangwon FC are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Gangwon FC hold a 3.2-point power-rating edge (52.2 v 55.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.5% in the K League 1, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 31% BTTS chance and 22% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
42.5%
Model confidence
42.5%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60