Incheon Unitedvs
Daejeon Citizen
COMPLETEDSouth-Korea · K League 1 · 3/18/2026, 10:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Incheon United are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Daejeon Citizen are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DDDDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Incheon United hold a 3.6-point power-rating edge (52.2 v 48.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.5% in the K League 1, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 29% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
38.5%
Model confidence
38.5%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80