GGOALVIO

Inca Aruba logoInca ArubavsFirpo logoFirpo

SCHEDULED

El-Salvador · Primera Division · 8/16/2026, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Firpo · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Mediumconfidence

Inca Aruba are 0W-0D-4L in their last 4 (LLLL), averaging 0.25 scored and 2.75 conceded, while Firpo are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 9 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Firpo hold a 67.1-point power-rating edge (12.4 v 79.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.8% in the Primera Division, while Firpo holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Firpo

Probability

64.3%

Model confidence

11.8%

Firpo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Inca ArubaLLLL

GF 1 · GA 11 · avg 0.25/2.75

BTTS 1/4O2.5 2/4
FirpoWLWDL

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Inca ArubaFirpo
8.3Attack77.8
8.3Defence88.9
0.0Form77.8
12.4Power79.5
0.85xG2.08
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