Inca Arubavs
Firpo
SCHEDULEDEl-Salvador · Primera Division · 8/16/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Firpo · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-2
Inca Aruba are 0W-0D-4L in their last 4 (LLLL), averaging 0.25 scored and 2.75 conceded, while Firpo are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 9 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Firpo hold a 67.1-point power-rating edge (12.4 v 79.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.8% in the Primera Division, while Firpo holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Firpo
Probability
64.3%
Model confidence
11.8%
Firpo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 11 · avg 0.25/2.75
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80