GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie D · 4/25/2026, 10:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Imperatriz · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Imperatriz are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DWDLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Tocantinópolis are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLDLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Imperatriz hold a 3.3-point power-rating edge (49.2 v 45.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.1% in the Serie D, while Imperatriz holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Imperatriz

Probability

45.4%

Model confidence

13.1%

Imperatriz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ImperatrizDWDLD

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
TocantinópolisLLDLL

GF 3 · GA 11 · avg 0.60/2.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
ImperatrizTocantinópolis
40.5Attack60.0
64.3Defence40.0
42.9Form40.0
49.2Power45.9
1.57xG1.16
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