Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ilves · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Ilves are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 2.80 scored and 2.20 conceded, while SJK are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLWLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Ilves hold a 6.2-point power-rating edge (48.5 v 42.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.7% in the Veikkausliiga, while Ilves holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Ilves
Probability
47.7%
Model confidence
47.7%
Ilves has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 11 · avg 2.80/2.20
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00