GGOALVIO

Finland · Kansallinen Liiga · 3/28/2026, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ilves · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1

Highconfidence

Ilves are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while PK-35 Vantaa W are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Ilves hold a 20.5-point power-rating edge (49.3 v 28.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 69.9% in the Kansallinen Liiga, while Ilves holds the strongest overall chance at 70% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 74% BTTS chance and 84% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Ilves

Probability

69.9%

Model confidence

69.9%

Ilves has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

IlvesWWLWL

GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
PK-35 Vantaa WLLWLW

GF 9 · GA 12 · avg 1.80/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
IlvesPK-35 Vantaa W
60.0Attack42.2
35.6Defence17.8
48.9Form22.2
49.3Power28.7
3.46xG1.44
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