Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Lahti · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Ilves are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while FC Lahti are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Lahti hold a 4.2-point power-rating edge (48.5 v 52.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.5% in the Veikkausliiga, while FC Lahti holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
FC Lahti
Probability
36.5%
Model confidence
36.5%
FC Lahti has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
GF 6 · GA 1 · avg 1.20/0.20