Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ilves · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Ilves are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Ilves II are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 43.7 against 45.3. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.3% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Ilves holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Ilves
Probability
35.3%
Model confidence
35.3%
Ilves has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80
GF 12 · GA 3 · avg 2.40/0.60