GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa Conference League · 8/13/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

HNK Rijeka · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Ilves are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.40 conceded, while HNK Rijeka are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and HNK Rijeka hold a 30.3-point power-rating edge (53.0 v 83.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 15.6% in the UEFA Europa Conference League, while HNK Rijeka holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 31% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

HNK Rijeka

Probability

35.1%

Model confidence

15.6%

HNK Rijeka has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Ilves TampereWLLWW

GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 0.80/0.40

BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
HNK RijekaWWWWW

GF 7 · GA 1 · avg 1.40/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Ilves TampereHNK Rijeka
26.7Attack33.3
80.0Defence100.0
46.7Form100.0
53.0Power83.3
0.94xG1.01
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