Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ilves · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Ilves are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLDLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.20 conceded, while AC oulu are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and AC oulu hold a 4.0-point power-rating edge (48.5 v 52.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.1% in the Veikkausliiga, while Ilves holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Ilves
Probability
37.1%
Model confidence
37.1%
Ilves has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40