Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ilves II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-0
Ilves II are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLDW), averaging 3.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while NJS are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Ilves II hold a 50.3-point power-rating edge (62.0 v 11.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.6% in the Kakkonen - Lohko B, while Ilves II holds the strongest overall chance at 89% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 86% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Ilves II
Probability
89.1%
Model confidence
11.6%
Ilves II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 17 · GA 9 · avg 3.40/1.80
GF 3 · GA 15 · avg 0.60/3.00