GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 8/14/2026, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Illescas · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Illescas are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDWDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while CF Talavera are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 45.3 against 45.3. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.8% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Illescas holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Illescas

Probability

37.8%

Model confidence

37.8%

Illescas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

IllescasLDWDW

GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
CF TalaveraWDLWL

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
IllescasCF Talavera
33.3Attack33.3
66.7Defence66.7
33.3Form33.3
45.3Power45.3
1.73xG1.47
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