Illertissenvs
SpVgg Unterhaching
COMPLETEDGermany · Regionalliga - Bayern · 8/14/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Illertissen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Illertissen are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWWL), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while SpVgg Unterhaching are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Illertissen hold a 6.8-point power-rating edge (77.5 v 70.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.8% in the Regionalliga - Bayern, while Illertissen holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Illertissen
Probability
49.9%
Model confidence
12.8%
Illertissen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 6 · avg 3.00/1.20
GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20