GGOALVIO

Germany · Regionalliga - Bayern · 7/31/2026, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Illertissen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Mediumconfidence

Illertissen are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 3.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Schwaben Augsburg are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Illertissen hold a 41.1-point power-rating edge (77.5 v 36.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.0% in the Regionalliga - Bayern, while Illertissen holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Illertissen

Probability

62.3%

Model confidence

11.0%

Illertissen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

IllertissenWWLWW

GF 18 · GA 5 · avg 3.60/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
Schwaben AugsburgDWWLW

GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
IllertissenSchwaben Augsburg
77.8Attack22.2
77.8Defence55.6
77.8Form22.2
77.5Power36.4
2.07xG0.92
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