Ilkeston Townvs
Stockton Town
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Northern · 8/8/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ilkeston Town · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Ilkeston Town are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Stockton Town are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Ilkeston Town hold a 56.7-point power-rating edge (83.3 v 26.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.8% in the Non League Premier - Northern, while Ilkeston Town holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Ilkeston Town
Probability
53.1%
Model confidence
12.8%
Ilkeston Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60