Ilkeston TownvsBasford United

Ilkeston Town are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Basford United are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DDWDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Basford United hold a 65.7-point power-rating edge (31.3 v 97.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.6% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Basford United holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.