Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ilirija · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Ilirija are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Dravinja are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Dravinja hold a 5.1-point power-rating edge (40.1 v 45.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.2% in the 2. SNL, while Ilirija holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Ilirija
Probability
38.8%
Model confidence
14.2%
Ilirija has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60