Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
IK brage · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
IK brage are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWDLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Orebro SK are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and IK brage hold a 7.4-point power-rating edge (45.0 v 37.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.6% in the Superettan, while IK brage holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
IK brage
Probability
59.0%
Model confidence
11.6%
IK brage has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00