GGOALVIO

Sweden · Superettan · 6/21/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

IK brage · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

IK brage are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LDDLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while IFK Varnamo are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and IK brage hold an 8.2-point power-rating edge (45.0 v 36.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.6% in the Superettan, while IK brage holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

IK brage

Probability

57.6%

Model confidence

57.6%

IK brage has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

IK brageLDDLD

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
IFK VarnamoLLLLD

GF 3 · GA 11 · avg 0.60/2.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
IK brageIFK Varnamo
55.6Attack40.7
38.9Defence33.3
37.0Form31.5
45.0Power36.8
2.44xG1.34
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