GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie D · 4/4/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Iguatu are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Sampaio Correa are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LDDDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Iguatu hold a 12.6-point power-rating edge (65.5 v 52.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.5% in the Serie D, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 27% BTTS chance and 17% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

44.5%

Model confidence

44.5%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

IguatuDWWLL

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Sampaio CorreaLDDDW

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
IguatuSampaio Correa
50.0Attack38.9
70.8Defence75.0
66.7Form44.4
65.5Power52.8
0.84xG0.59
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