GGOALVIO

Sweden · Superettan · 8/16/2026, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ostersunds FK · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

IFK Varnamo are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWDLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Ostersunds FK are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Ostersunds FK hold a 22.9-point power-rating edge (36.8 v 59.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.5% in the Superettan, while Ostersunds FK holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Ostersunds FK

Probability

58.5%

Model confidence

58.5%

Ostersunds FK has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

IFK VarnamoWWDLL

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Ostersunds FKWWDWL

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
IFK VarnamoOstersunds FK
40.7Attack51.9
33.3Defence61.1
31.5Form59.3
36.8Power59.7
0.95xG2.03
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