IFK Varnamovs
Ostersunds FK
LIVESweden · Superettan · 8/16/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ostersunds FK · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
IFK Varnamo are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWDLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Ostersunds FK are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Ostersunds FK hold a 22.9-point power-rating edge (36.8 v 59.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.5% in the Superettan, while Ostersunds FK holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Ostersunds FK
Probability
58.5%
Model confidence
58.5%
Ostersunds FK has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20