GGOALVIO

Sweden · Superettan · 4/26/2026, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Oddevold · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

IFK Varnamo are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WWLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Oddevold are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWDLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Oddevold hold a 15.5-point power-rating edge (36.8 v 52.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.7% in the Superettan, while Oddevold holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Oddevold

Probability

55.0%

Model confidence

10.7%

Oddevold has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

IFK VarnamoWWLLL

GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 4/5
OddevoldLWDLL

GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
IFK VarnamoOddevold
40.7Attack53.7
33.3Defence51.9
31.5Form46.3
36.8Power52.3
1.21xG2.05
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