Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fransta · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
IFK Umeå are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WDLLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 3.60 conceded, while Fransta are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and fransta hold a 16.5-point power-rating edge (18.3 v 34.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely result in the Division 2 - Norrland, favouring Fransta with 8.1% confidence, a 76% BTTS chance and 80% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Fransta
Probability
56.7%
Model confidence
8.1%
Fransta has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 18 · avg 1.40/3.60
GF 7 · GA 15 · avg 1.40/3.00