Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
IFK Luleå · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
IFK Luleå are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLDW), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Täfteå are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and IFK Luleå hold a 2.8-point power-rating edge (65.2 v 62.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.3% in the Division 2 - Norrland, while IFK Luleå holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 78% BTTS chance and 79% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
IFK Luleå
Probability
43.3%
Model confidence
43.3%
IFK Luleå has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 11 · avg 2.40/2.20
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80