Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
IFK Luleå · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-1
IFK Luleå are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWD), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Storfors are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and IFK Luleå hold a 29.7-point power-rating edge (65.2 v 35.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 84.7% in the Division 2 - Norrland, while IFK Luleå holds the strongest overall chance at 85% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 88% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
IFK Luleå
Probability
84.7%
Model confidence
84.7%
IFK Luleå has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 9 · avg 2.80/1.80
GF 8 · GA 15 · avg 1.60/3.00