Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gnistan · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2
Gnistan are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.20 conceded, while SJK are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DWDDL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 52.4 against 51.1. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.3% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Gnistan holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 83% BTTS chance and 86% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Gnistan
Probability
41.3%
Model confidence
41.3%
Gnistan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 11 · avg 0.60/2.20
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40