Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
PK-35 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Gnistan are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.40 conceded, while PK-35 are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and PK-35 hold a 7.6-point power-rating edge (52.4 v 60.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.0% in the Friendlies Clubs, while PK-35 holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
PK-35
Probability
40.0%
Model confidence
40.0%
PK-35 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 12 · avg 0.40/2.40
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00