GnistanvsIFK Mariehamn

Gnistan are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDDWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while IFK Mariehamn are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.20 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Gnistan hold a 31.6-point power-rating edge (53.4 v 21.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 77.7% in the Veikkausliiga, while Gnistan holds the strongest overall chance at 78% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.