IF Elfsborgvs
Vasteras SK FK
COMPLETEDSweden · Allsvenskan · 8/14/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
IF Elfsborg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
IF Elfsborg are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WWLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Vasteras SK FK are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and IF Elfsborg hold a 4.9-point power-rating edge (54.4 v 49.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.6% in the Allsvenskan, while IF Elfsborg holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
IF Elfsborg
Probability
51.2%
Model confidence
12.6%
IF Elfsborg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20