IF Elfsborgvs
Sirius
COMPLETEDSweden · Allsvenskan · 7/19/2026, 2:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sirius · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
IF Elfsborg are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LLDDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Sirius are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDDWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Sirius hold a 26.5-point power-rating edge (54.4 v 80.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.1% in the Allsvenskan, while Sirius holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Sirius
Probability
54.1%
Model confidence
12.1%
Sirius has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40