GGOALVIO

Sweden · Allsvenskan · 7/5/2026, 2:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hammarby FF · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

IF elfsborg are 0W-5D-0L in their last 5 (DDDDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Hammarby FF are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Hammarby FF hold an 11.8-point power-rating edge (54.4 v 66.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.1% in the Allsvenskan, while Hammarby FF holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Hammarby FF

Probability

51.1%

Model confidence

51.1%

Hammarby FF has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

IF elfsborgDDDDD

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 1/5
Hammarby FFWLLLW

GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
IF elfsborgHammarby FF
43.8Attack75.0
62.5Defence68.8
50.0Form62.5
54.4Power66.2
0.85xG1.60
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