ŠiauliaivsFK Zalgiris Vilnius

Šiauliai are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while FK Zalgiris Vilnius are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and FK Zalgiris Vilnius hold a 25.1-point power-rating edge (32.0 v 57.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 64.8% in the A Lyga, while FK Zalgiris Vilnius holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.