Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Šiauliai · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Šiauliai are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDDLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while FK Trakai are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.00 scored and 3.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Šiauliai hold a 17.7-point power-rating edge (32.0 v 14.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.7% in the A Lyga, while Šiauliai holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Šiauliai
Probability
54.8%
Model confidence
12.7%
Šiauliai has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
GF 0 · GA 17 · avg 0.00/3.40