GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie D · 5/31/2026, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sampaio Correa · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

IAPE are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DDLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Sampaio Correa are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLD), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Sampaio Correa hold a 22.6-point power-rating edge (30.2 v 52.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.6% in the Serie D, while Sampaio Correa holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sampaio Correa

Probability

58.6%

Model confidence

58.6%

Sampaio Correa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

IAPEDDLLL

GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Sampaio CorreaWWDLD

GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
IAPESampaio Correa
33.3Attack38.9
33.3Defence75.0
13.3Form44.4
30.2Power52.8
0.50xG1.52
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