Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
IAPE are 0W-2D-2L in their last 4 (LDDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.75 conceded, while Moto Club are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 9 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Moto Club hold a 7.7-point power-rating edge (30.2 v 37.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.2% in the Serie D, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
37.2%
Model confidence
37.2%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.75
GF 3 · GA 11 · avg 0.60/2.20