GGOALVIO

Iceland · Úrvalsdeild · 4/22/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

IA Akranes · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

IA Akranes are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.80 conceded, while KA Akureyri are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and IA Akranes hold a 6.8-point power-rating edge (44.8 v 38.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.0% in the Úrvalsdeild, while IA Akranes holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 74% BTTS chance and 77% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

IA Akranes

Probability

53.0%

Model confidence

53.0%

IA Akranes has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

IA AkranesLDLWL

GF 8 · GA 14 · avg 1.60/2.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
KA AkureyriLLWWW

GF 13 · GA 10 · avg 2.60/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
IA AkranesKA Akureyri
55.6Attack44.4
33.3Defence33.3
40.7Form27.8
44.8Power38.0
2.52xG1.64
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