Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Daegu FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Hwaseong are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWWL), averaging 2.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Daegu FC are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Daegu FC hold a 14.8-point power-rating edge (43.5 v 58.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.8% in the K League 2, while Daegu FC holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Daegu FC
Probability
48.8%
Model confidence
48.8%
Daegu FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 10 · avg 2.80/2.00
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40