Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hvidovre · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Hvidovre are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LWDDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Esbjerg are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWDLL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Hvidovre hold a 19.6-point power-rating edge (70.7 v 51.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.6% in the 1. Division, while Hvidovre holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Hvidovre
Probability
45.6%
Model confidence
45.6%
Hvidovre has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20