Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Humpolec · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Humpolec are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWWLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Bedrichov are 0W-1D-1L in their last 2 (DL), averaging 0.50 scored and 1.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 7 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Humpolec hold a 2.8-point power-rating edge (48.1 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.0% in the 4. liga - Divizie D, while Humpolec holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Humpolec
Probability
40.2%
Model confidence
12.0%
Humpolec has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20
GF 1 · GA 3 · avg 0.50/1.50