GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Hessen · 8/1/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Friedberg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Hummetroth are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Friedberg are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Friedberg hold a 57.5-point power-rating edge (15.3 v 72.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 61.8% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Friedberg holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Friedberg

Probability

61.8%

Model confidence

61.8%

Friedberg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

HummetrothDLLWL

GF 10 · GA 14 · avg 2.00/2.80

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
FriedbergDLWWD

GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
HummetrothFriedberg
33.3Attack66.7
0.0Defence66.7
0.0Form77.8
15.3Power72.8
1.26xG2.59
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