GGOALVIO

Australia · Victoria NPL · 5/30/2026, 4:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hume City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Hume City are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while South Melbourne are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Hume City hold an 8.6-point power-rating edge (63.3 v 54.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.4% in the Victoria NPL, while Hume City holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Hume City

Probability

51.4%

Model confidence

51.4%

Hume City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Hume CityWWWWW

GF 13 · GA 4 · avg 2.60/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
South MelbourneLLLLW

GF 5 · GA 14 · avg 1.00/2.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 5/5
Hume CitySouth Melbourne
66.7Attack52.8
55.6Defence54.2
63.9Form56.9
63.3Power54.7
2.04xG1.28
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