GGOALVIO

Australia · Victoria NPL · 8/1/2026, 4:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hume City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Hume City are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Melbourne City II are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Hume City hold a 12.4-point power-rating edge (63.3 v 50.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.6% in the Victoria NPL, while Hume City holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Hume City

Probability

48.6%

Model confidence

48.6%

Hume City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Hume CityLLLDW

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Melbourne City IILLDWW

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Hume CityMelbourne City II
66.7Attack56.5
55.6Defence56.5
63.9Form43.5
63.3Power50.9
1.97xG1.34
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