GGOALVIO

Australia · Victoria NPL · 7/4/2026, 4:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hume City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Hume City are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Dandenong City are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Hume City hold a 12.2-point power-rating edge (63.3 v 51.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.5% in the Victoria NPL, while Hume City holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Hume City

Probability

51.5%

Model confidence

51.5%

Hume City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Hume CityWWWDW

GF 15 · GA 6 · avg 3.00/1.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Dandenong CityWLWWW

GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Hume CityDandenong City
66.7Attack44.4
55.6Defence59.7
63.9Form45.8
63.3Power51.1
1.82xG1.06
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