HumaitávsIndependência

Humaitá are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 4.40 conceded, while Independência are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Independência hold a 46.1-point power-rating edge (6.7 v 52.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 74.3% in the Serie D, while Independência holds the strongest overall chance at 74% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.