Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Guaporé · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-2
Humaitá are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 4.20 conceded, while Guaporé are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWDWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Guaporé hold a 56.4-point power-rating edge (6.7 v 63.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 80.0% in the Serie D, while Guaporé holds the strongest overall chance at 80% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Guaporé
Probability
80.0%
Model confidence
80.0%
Guaporé has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 21 · avg 0.60/4.20
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80